Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Crane vs Roger Huerta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roger Huerta
us

Roger Huerta

“El Matador”

24-13-1LightweightBFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record24-13-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alberto Crane MMATeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Alberto Crane is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Roger Huerta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alberto CraneNow 1594
If they win+15→ 1609
If they lose-17→ 1577
Roger HuertaNow 1579
If they win+13→ 1592
If they lose-11→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
25%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
57%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
2.13
0%
Takedown accuracy
46%
50%
Takedown defense
53%
4
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Alberto CraneRoger Huerta
155016002009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
14 (93%)
Submission
5 (23%)
1 (7%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Alberto Crane56%
Roger Huerta 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alberto Crane a 56% favorite over Roger Huerta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Alberto Crane holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1594 to 1579, a 15-point edge.

Alberto Crane enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alberto Crane finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.