Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Mina vs Yoshihiro Akiyama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alberto Mina
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Alberto Mina

“Soldier of God”

13-1-0WelterweightUFC

1714Good

Tale of the tape

13-1-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
77,5"Reach73,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kings MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Alberto Mina is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Yoshihiro Akiyama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alberto MinaNow 1714
If they win+14→ 1728
If they lose-18→ 1696
Yoshihiro AkiyamaNow 1678
If they win+18→ 1696
If they lose-14→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
39%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
47%
Strike defense
58%
1.85
Takedown avg.
2.29
21%
Takedown accuracy
68%
50%
Takedown defense
93%
0
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Alberto MinaYoshihiro Akiyama
1650170017502016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
6 (46%)
Submission
7 (44%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Alberto Mina76%
Yoshihiro Akiyama 24%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Alberto Mina a 76% favorite over Yoshihiro Akiyama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Alberto Mina holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1714 to 1678, a 36-point edge.

Yoshihiro Akiyama enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alberto Mina finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Yoshihiro Akiyama 88%.

Alberto Mina carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.