Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Montes vs Pablo Garza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pablo Garza
us

Pablo Garza

“The Scarecrow”

12-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1606Solid

Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'1"
69"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA MastersTeamAcademy of Combat Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alberto MontesNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Pablo GarzaNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
61%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
60%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
78%
Takedown defense
15%
6.77
Submission avg.
1.26

Trajectory

Alberto MontesPablo Garza
1550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
7 (58%)
Submission
6 (50%)
4 (33%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Alberto Montes70%
Pablo Garza 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alberto Montes a 70% favorite over Pablo Garza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1606), separated by just 0 points.

Alberto Montes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Garza 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.