Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Pereira vs Marcio Alexandre Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'1"
45.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamAstra Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alberto PereiraNow 1465
If they win+24→ 1489
If they lose-24→ 1441
Marcio Alexandre JuniorNow 1467
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
2.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alberto PereiraMarcio Alexandre Junior
145020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
7 (54%)
Submission
5 (31%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alberto Pereira and Marcio Alexandre Junior within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1465 vs 1467), separated by just 2 points.

Alberto Pereira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alberto Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.