Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Pereira vs Ryan Parker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Parker
us

Ryan Parker

“The Predator”

4-5-0MiddleweightPF

1490Average

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'3"
45.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamTeam XCWT MMA

What's at stake

Ryan Parker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alberto Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alberto PereiraNow 1465
If they win+26→ 1491
If they lose-22→ 1443
Ryan ParkerNow 1490
If they win+15→ 1505
If they lose-17→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
53%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
2.83
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alberto PereiraRyan Parker
14501500201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
7 (54%)
Submission
1 (25%)
2 (15%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Parker60%
Alberto Pereira 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 60% favorite over Alberto Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Ryan Parker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1465, a 25-point edge.

Alberto Pereira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Parker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alberto Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.