Alden Coria vs Chad Robichaux
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'3"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamGracie Barra
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alden CoriaChad Robichaux
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alden Coria70%
Chad Robichaux 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 70% favorite over Chad Robichaux in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.
Alden Coria enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Chad Robichaux enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alden Coria finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Chad Robichaux 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.