Combat Edge Intelligence

Alden Coria vs Gustavo Gabriel Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record16-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alden CoriaNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Gustavo Gabriel SilvaNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
4.06
45%
Strike accuracy
65%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.26
70%
Strike defense
46%
1.75
Takedown avg.
0
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alden CoriaGustavo Gabriel Silva
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
4 (33%)
Submission
6 (38%)
3 (25%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Alden Coria66%
Gustavo Gabriel Silva 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 66% favorite over Gustavo Gabriel Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1649), separated by just 3 points.

Alden Coria enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Gustavo Gabriel Silva enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alden Coria finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Gabriel Silva 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.