Combat Edge Intelligence

Alden Coria vs Hector Sandoval

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record15-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'2"
67"Reach36,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alden CoriaNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Hector SandovalNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.69
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
45%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
70%
Strike defense
66%
1.75
Takedown avg.
3.49
33%
Takedown accuracy
25%
71%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
1.40

Trajectory

Alden CoriaHector Sandoval
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (31%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Alden Coria70%
Hector Sandoval 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 70% favorite over Hector Sandoval in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hector Sandoval's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Alden Coria enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Hector Sandoval enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alden Coria finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Hector Sandoval 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.