Alden Coria vs Sean Santella
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record23-9-2
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1605 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+12→ 1660
If they lose-12→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alden CoriaSean Santella
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alden Coria70%
Sean Santella 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 70% favorite over Sean Santella in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.
Sean Santella enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alden Coria finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Sean Santella 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.