Alden Coria vs Sean Santella
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record23-9-2
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alden CoriaSean Santella
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alden Coria70%
Sean Santella 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 70% favorite over Sean Santella in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1647), separated by just 5 points.
Alden Coria enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Sean Santella enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alden Coria finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sean Santella 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.