Aldo Cruz vs Ryusei Ashizawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record2-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach-
130 lbsWeight134 lbs
Real Fighters MéxicoTeamFreelance· 1556 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1472
If they lose-25→ 1424
If they win+25→ 1462
If they lose-23→ 1414
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aldo CruzRyusei Ashizawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryusei Ashizawa58%
Aldo Cruz 42%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryusei Ashizawa a 58% favorite over Aldo Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aldo Cruz's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1449 vs 1437), separated by just 12 points.
Aldo Cruz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryusei Ashizawa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.