Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Flores vs Julio Arce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record21-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
WolverinesTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alejandro FloresNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
Julio ArceNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
41%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
54%
Strike defense
68%
0
Takedown avg.
0.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
29%
0%
Takedown defense
96%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Alejandro FloresJulio Arce
17002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (24%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Julio Arce63%
Alejandro Flores 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Julio Arce a 63% favorite over Alejandro Flores in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1703), separated by just 2 points.

Julio Arce 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.