Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Flores vs Julio Arce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record22-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
WolverinesTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alejandro FloresNow 1714
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702
Julio ArceNow 1714
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
41%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
54%
Strike defense
68%
0
Takedown avg.
0.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
29%
0%
Takedown defense
96%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Alejandro FloresJulio Arce
170020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (23%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alejandro Flores and Julio Arce within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1714), separated by just 0 points.

Julio Arce 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.