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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Garcia vs Mario Tena

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-10-0Record8-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arizona Athletic ClubTeamLT Gym Fight MMA

What's at stake

Alejandro Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mario Tena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alejandro GarciaNow 1488
If they win+13→ 1501
If they lose-19→ 1469
Mario TenaNow 1423
If they win+19→ 1442
If they lose-13→ 1410

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alejandro GarciaMario Tena
1400145015001550201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
5 (36%)
Submission
2 (25%)
5 (36%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Alejandro Garcia56%
Mario Tena 44%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Alejandro Garcia a 56% favorite over Mario Tena in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Alejandro Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1488 to 1423, a 65-point edge.

Alejandro Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alejandro Garcia finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mario Tena 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.