Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Garcia vs Ruslan Abiltarov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-10-0Record25-15-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arizona Athletic ClubTeamPredator Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alejandro GarciaNow 1488
If they win+16→ 1504
If they lose-16→ 1472
Ruslan AbiltarovNow 1493
If they win+12→ 1505
If they lose-12→ 1481

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Alejandro GarciaRuslan Abiltarov
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
5 (36%)
Submission
12 (48%)
5 (36%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Abiltarov61%
Alejandro Garcia 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Abiltarov a 61% favorite over Alejandro Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1488 vs 1493), separated by just 5 points.

Alejandro Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ruslan Abiltarov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Alejandro Garcia finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Abiltarov 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.