Alejandro Garcia vs Shane Mullen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record1-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Arizona Athletic ClubTeamFight Academy Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1505
If they lose-15→ 1473
If they win+23→ 1523
If they lose-25→ 1475
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alejandro GarciaShane Mullen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shane Mullen66%
Alejandro Garcia 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Shane Mullen a 66% favorite over Alejandro Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1488 vs 1500), separated by just 12 points.
Alejandro Garcia enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alejandro Garcia finishes 64% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.