Alejandro Gonzales vs Italo Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
1-0-0Record0-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team
What's at stake
Alejandro Gonzales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Italo Diaz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1546
If they lose-29→ 1498
If they win+29→ 1481
If they lose-19→ 1433
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1480 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alejandro GonzalesItalo Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alejandro Gonzales84%
Italo Diaz 16%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Alejandro Gonzales a 84% favorite over Italo Diaz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Alejandro Gonzales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1527 to 1452, a 75-point edge.
Italo Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.