Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Perez vs Jonathan Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-9-1Record19-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Jonathan Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alejandro Perez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alejandro PerezNow 1638
If they win+18→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1624
Jonathan MartinezNow 1678
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-18→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
4.44
36%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
62%
Strike defense
57%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.38
23%
Takedown accuracy
36%
71%
Takedown defense
68%
0.32
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Alejandro PerezJonathan Martinez
1650170020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
7 (28%)
Submission
2 (11%)
8 (32%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Martinez66%
Alejandro Perez 34%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Martinez a 66% favorite over Alejandro Perez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jonathan Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1638, a 40-point edge.

Jonathan Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alejandro Perez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Martinez 58%.

Jonathan Martinez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.