Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Perez vs Josh Culibao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-9-1Record11-4-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
67"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamIgor MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alejandro PerezNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Josh CulibaoNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
36%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
62%
Strike defense
60%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0
23%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
66%
0.32
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Alejandro PerezJosh Culibao
165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
7 (28%)
Submission
1 (9%)
8 (32%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Culibao57%
Alejandro Perez 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Culibao a 57% favorite over Alejandro Perez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alejandro Perez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Culibao enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alejandro Perez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Josh Culibao 55%.

Josh Culibao carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.