Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Perez vs Koji Takeda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-9-1Record20-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alejandro PerezNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Koji TakedaNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
0.54
Takedown avg.
TBD
23%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.32
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alejandro PerezKoji Takeda
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
7 (28%)
Submission
7 (35%)
8 (32%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Koji Takeda66%
Alejandro Perez 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Koji Takeda a 66% favorite over Alejandro Perez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alejandro Perez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1638), separated by just 0 points.

Koji Takeda enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alejandro Perez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Koji Takeda 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.