Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Perez vs Lerryan Douglas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-9-1Record14-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
67"Reach72"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKiller Bees

What's at stake

Alejandro Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Lerryan Douglas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alejandro PerezNow 1638
If they win+15→ 1653
If they lose-17→ 1621
Lerryan DouglasNow 1607
If they win+17→ 1624
If they lose-15→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
8.67
36%
Strike accuracy
64%
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.82
62%
Strike defense
64%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0
23%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
0%
0.32
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alejandro PerezLerryan Douglas
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
7 (28%)
Submission
3 (21%)
8 (32%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerryan Douglas72%
Alejandro Perez 28%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerryan Douglas a 72% favorite over Alejandro Perez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alejandro Perez's way (46%).

Alejandro Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1607, a 31-point edge.

Alejandro Perez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Lerryan Douglas 79%.

Lerryan Douglas carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.