Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Perez vs Patrick Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-9-1Record8-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67"Reach73,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamIndependent

What's at stake

Alejandro Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Patrick Williams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alejandro PerezNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-20→ 1618
Patrick WilliamsNow 1560
If they win+20→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
4.12
36%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
62%
Strike defense
52%
0.54
Takedown avg.
2.71
23%
Takedown accuracy
42%
71%
Takedown defense
100%
0.32
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Alejandro PerezPatrick Williams
1550160016502016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
7 (28%)
Submission
3 (38%)
8 (32%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Alejandro Perez70%
Patrick Williams 30%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Alejandro Perez a 70% favorite over Patrick Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Alejandro Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1560, a 78-point edge.

Patrick Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alejandro Perez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Williams 88%.

Patrick Williams carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.