Aleksandar Rakić vs Anthony Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record38-22-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
78"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23TeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandar RakićAnthony Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandar Rakić70%
Anthony Smith 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 70% favorite over Anthony Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1674), separated by just 2 points.
Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Anthony Smith 92%.
Aleksandar Rakić and Anthony Smith share 1 common opponent: Magomed Ankalaev.
Aleksandar Rakić carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.