Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Azamat Murzakanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record16-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height5'11"
78"Reach71"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23TeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe

What's at stake

Azamat Murzakanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Aleksandar Rakić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1676
If they win+21→ 1697
If they lose-11→ 1665
Azamat MurzakanovNow 1779
If they win+11→ 1790
If they lose-21→ 1758

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.70
50%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.86
51%
Strike defense
61%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.55
22%
Takedown accuracy
15%
86%
Takedown defense
88%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićAzamat Murzakanov
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
12 (75%)
1 (7%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (29%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Azamat Murzakanov76%
Aleksandar Rakić 24%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Azamat Murzakanov a 76% favorite over Aleksandar Rakić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Azamat Murzakanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1676, a 103-point edge.

Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Azamat Murzakanov 81%.

Aleksandar Rakić and Azamat Murzakanov share 1 common opponent: Devin Clark.

Aleksandar Rakić carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO (punches) · 2018
Devin Clark
WinTKO · 2022