Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Bobby Hoffman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record36-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight245 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamUniversal Grappling Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Bobby HoffmanNow 1684
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.02
50%
Strike accuracy
70%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.32
51%
Strike defense
19%
0.64
Takedown avg.
1.17
22%
Takedown accuracy
50%
86%
Takedown defense
0%
0.13
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićBobby Hoffman
16501700175020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
23 (64%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (17%)
5 (33%)
Decision
7 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandar Rakić70%
Bobby Hoffman 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 70% favorite over Bobby Hoffman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1684), separated by just 10 points.

Bobby Hoffman enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Bobby Hoffman 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.