Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Bobby Lashley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record15-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight241 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Altitude

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Bobby LashleyNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.64
Takedown avg.
TBD
22%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
86%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićBobby Lashley
165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (40%)
5 (33%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandar Rakić70%
Bobby Lashley 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 70% favorite over Bobby Lashley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bobby Lashley's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1695), separated by just 1 points.

Bobby Lashley enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Bobby Lashley 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.