Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Jiří Procházka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record32-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
78"Reach80"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Jiří Procházka is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Aleksandar Rakić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1694
If they win+21→ 1715
If they lose-11→ 1683
Jiří ProcházkaNow 1805
If they win+8→ 1813
If they lose-16→ 1789

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1730 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
5.69
50%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.60
51%
Strike defense
46%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.51
22%
Takedown accuracy
60%
86%
Takedown defense
68%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićJiří Procházka
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
28 (88%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (9%)
5 (33%)
Decision
1 (3%)

Combat Edge model read

Jiří Procházka67%
Aleksandar Rakić 33%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Jiří Procházka a 67% favorite over Aleksandar Rakić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Jiří Procházka holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1805 to 1694, a 111-point edge.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jiří Procházka 97%.

Aleksandar Rakić and Jiří Procházka share 1 common opponent: Volkan Oezdemir.

Jiří Procházka carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (split) · 2019
Volkan Oezdemir
WinKO · 2020