Aleksandar Rakić vs Jovan Leka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record14-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
78"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight259 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFamily Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandar RakićJovan Leka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jovan Leka60%
Aleksandar Rakić 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jovan Leka a 60% favorite over Aleksandar Rakić in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aleksandar Rakić's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1694), separated by just 0 points.
Jovan Leka enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jovan Leka 86%.
Aleksandar Rakić carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.