Aleksandar Rakić vs Magomed Ankalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record21-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Aleksandar Rakić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1717
If they lose-9→ 1685
If they win+9→ 1857
If they lose-23→ 1825
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandar RakićMagomed Ankalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev87%
Aleksandar Rakić 13%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 87% favorite over Aleksandar Rakić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1694, a 154-point edge.
Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.
Aleksandar Rakić and Magomed Ankalaev share 4 common opponents: Jan Błachowicz, Thiago Santos, Anthony Smith and Volkan Oezdemir.
Aleksandar Rakić carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.