Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Martin Buday

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record16-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'5"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight265 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1654 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Martin BudayNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
50%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
51%
Strike defense
56%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.15
22%
Takedown accuracy
20%
86%
Takedown defense
93%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićMartin Buday
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (13%)
5 (33%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandar Rakić59%
Martin Buday 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 59% favorite over Martin Buday in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Martin Buday's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1700), separated by just 6 points.

Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.