Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Ruslan Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record15-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach78,0"
205 lbsWeight249 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Ruslan MagomedovNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.02
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.47
51%
Strike defense
66%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.33
22%
Takedown accuracy
100%
86%
Takedown defense
89%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićRuslan Magomedov
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (13%)
5 (33%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandar Rakić70%
Ruslan Magomedov 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 70% favorite over Ruslan Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ruslan Magomedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1697), separated by just 3 points.

Ruslan Magomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Magomedov 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.