Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0 Record 21-8-0
Light Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'5" Height 6'1"
78" Reach 75"
205 lbs Weight 206 lbs
Gym 23 Team Fight Move Academy

What's at stake

Volkan Oezdemir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Aleksandar Rakić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1676
If they win+18→ 1694
If they lose-14→ 1662
Volkan OezdemirNow 1719
If they win+14→ 1733
If they lose-18→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / min Lower is better
4.22
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.50
22%
Takedown accuracy
29%
86%
Takedown defense
80%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Aleksandar Rakić Volkan Oezdemir
1700 2024 2025

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (10%)
4 (29%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Volkan Oezdemir60%
Aleksandar Rakić40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Volkan Oezdemir a 60% favorite over Aleksandar Rakić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Volkan Oezdemir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1676, a 43-point edge.

Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Aleksandar Rakić and Volkan Oezdemir share 2 common opponents: Magomed Ankalaev and Jiří Procházka.

Aleksandar Rakić carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

Loss Decision (unanimous) · 2024
Magomed Ankalaev
Loss Decision (unanimous) · 2021
Loss KO/TKO · 2024
Jiří Procházka
Loss KO · 2020