Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Marcin Tybura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record27-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight247 lbs
Gym 23TeamAnkos MMA

What's at stake

Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Aleksandar Rakić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1676
If they win+18→ 1694
If they lose-14→ 1662
Marcin TyburaNow 1721
If they win+10→ 1731
If they lose-14→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1739 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.64
Takedown avg.
1.30
22%
Takedown accuracy
33%
86%
Takedown defense
71%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićMarcin Tybura
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
10 (37%)
1 (7%)
Submission
7 (26%)
4 (29%)
Decision
10 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Tybura60%
Aleksandar Rakić 40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 60% favorite over Aleksandar Rakić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1676, a 45-point edge.

Aleksandar Rakić enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.