Aleksandar Rakić vs Marcin Tybura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record27-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight247 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1711
If they lose-15→ 1679
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandar RakićMarcin Tybura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandar Rakić60%
Marcin Tybura 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 60% favorite over Marcin Tybura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcin Tybura's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1708), separated by just 14 points.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.