Aleksandar Rakić vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record24-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'5"
78"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23· 1617 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
If they win+12→ 1708
If they lose-12→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandar RakićRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandar Rakić62%
Ryan Spann 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 62% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1697 vs 1696), separated by just 1 points.
Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Aleksandar Rakić and Ryan Spann share 1 common opponent: Anthony Smith.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.