Aleksandar Rakić vs Volkan Oezdemir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
78"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Gym 23· 1615 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Volkan Oezdemir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Aleksandar Rakić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1714
If they lose-15→ 1682
If they win+15→ 1735
If they lose-17→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1741 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandar RakićVolkan Oezdemir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandar Rakić63%
Volkan Oezdemir 37%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 63% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Volkan Oezdemir's way (47%).
Volkan Oezdemir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1697, a 23-point edge.
Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.
Aleksandar Rakić and Volkan Oezdemir share 2 common opponents: Magomed Ankalaev and Jiří Procházka.
Aleksandar Rakić carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.