Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Volkan Oezdemir

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record21-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
78"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFight Move Academy

What's at stake

Volkan Oezdemir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Aleksandar Rakić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1694
If they win+17→ 1711
If they lose-15→ 1679
Volkan OezdemirNow 1719
If they win+15→ 1734
If they lose-17→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
4.95
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.64
Takedown avg.
0.50
22%
Takedown accuracy
29%
86%
Takedown defense
80%
0.13
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićVolkan Oezdemir
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (10%)
5 (33%)
Decision
5 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandar Rakić60%
Volkan Oezdemir 40%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 60% favorite over Volkan Oezdemir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Volkan Oezdemir's way (46%).

Volkan Oezdemir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1694, a 25-point edge.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Volkan Oezdemir 76%.

Aleksandar Rakić and Volkan Oezdemir share 2 common opponents: Magomed Ankalaev and Jiří Procházka.

Aleksandar Rakić carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
Magomed Ankalaev
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
LossKO/TKO · 2024
Jiří Procházka
LossKO · 2020