Aleksander Emelianenko vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-9-1Record15-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReach 78"
256 lbsWeight259 lbs
AE TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksander EmelianenkoJairzinho Rozenstruik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jairzinho Rozenstruik70%
Aleksander Emelianenko 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 70% favorite over Aleksander Emelianenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aleksander Emelianenko's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.
Aleksander Emelianenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aleksander Emelianenko finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.