Aleksander Emelianenko vs Serghei Spivac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-9-1Record18-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach 78"
256 lbsWeight256 lbs
AE TeamTeamPolar Bear Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksander EmelianenkoSerghei Spivac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Serghei Spivac78%
Aleksander Emelianenko 22%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Serghei Spivac a 78% favorite over Aleksander Emelianenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1709), separated by just 2 points.
Aleksander Emelianenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aleksander Emelianenko finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.