Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Chizov vs Bryce Meredith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75"Reach68.5"
160 lbsWeight135 lbs
ProfesionalisTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr ChizovNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Bryce MeredithNow 1648
If they win+24→ 1672
If they lose-24→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aleksandr ChizovBryce Meredith
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
3 (23%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (15%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Chizov66%
Bryce Meredith 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Chizov a 66% favorite over Bryce Meredith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1648), separated by just 3 points.

Aleksandr Chizov finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Bryce Meredith 63%.

Aleksandr Chizov carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.