Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Chizov vs Nad Narimani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record12-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75"Reach40,5"
160 lbsWeight150 lbs
ProfesionalisTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr ChizovNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Nad NarimaniNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.92
TBD
Takedown accuracy
41%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksandr ChizovNad Narimani
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
3 (23%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (15%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Chizov70%
Nad Narimani 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Chizov a 70% favorite over Nad Narimani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nad Narimani's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.

Nad Narimani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandr Chizov finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nad Narimani 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.