Aleksandr Chizov vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record30-12-2
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75"ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
ProfesionalisTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Nik Lentz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Aleksandr Chizov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1633
If they win+11→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandr ChizovNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksandr Chizov63%
Nik Lentz 37%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Chizov a 63% favorite over Nik Lentz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nik Lentz's way (47%).
Nik Lentz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1648, a 22-point edge.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aleksandr Chizov finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.