Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Chris Wade

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Wade
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Chris Wade

“The Long Island Killer”

23-10-0LightweightPFL

1682Good

Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record23-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach70,0"
147 lbsWeight149 lbs
Raty TeamTeamEast Islip Kickboxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Chris WadeNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.75
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.60
TBD
Takedown accuracy
52%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinChris Wade
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
3 (12%)
Submission
6 (26%)
16 (64%)
Decision
15 (65%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Grozin71%
Chris Wade 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 71% favorite over Chris Wade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Chris Wade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Chris Wade 35%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.