Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Mateusz Legierski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record14-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach71"
147 lbsWeight156 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamOctagon Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Mateusz LegierskiNow 1700
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinMateusz Legierski
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
3 (12%)
Submission
4 (29%)
16 (64%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Grozin61%
Mateusz Legierski 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 61% favorite over Mateusz Legierski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mateusz Legierski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1700), separated by just 2 points.

Mateusz Legierski enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Legierski 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.