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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Rafael dos Anjos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record32-18-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach70"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamRDA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Rafael dos AnjosNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.95
Not available
Takedown accuracy
24%
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinRafael dos Anjos
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
5 (16%)
3 (12%)
Submission
11 (34%)
16 (64%)
Decision
16 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael dos Anjos53%
Aleksandr Grozin 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 53% favorite over Aleksandr Grozin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aleksandr Grozin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1698), separated by just 2 points.

Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.