Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Zubaira Tukhugov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record20-6-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach68"
147 lbsWeight158 lbs
Raty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679
Zubaira TukhugovNow 1691
If they win+12→ 1703
If they lose-12→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinZubaira Tukhugov
1700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
3 (12%)
Submission
1 (5%)
16 (64%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Grozin60%
Zubaira Tukhugov 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 60% favorite over Zubaira Tukhugov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1691 vs 1691), separated by just 0 points.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.