Aleksandr Podlesniy vs Brad Katona
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-8-2Record14-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
-Reach64"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
OplotTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandr PodlesniyBrad Katona
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brad Katona54%
Aleksandr Podlesniy 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brad Katona a 54% favorite over Aleksandr Podlesniy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aleksandr Podlesniy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1656), separated by just 0 points.
Aleksandr Podlesniy enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Brad Katona enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aleksandr Podlesniy finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Brad Katona 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.