Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandre Topuria vs Bekzat Almakhan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach68"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Climent ClubTeamTriumph Fights

What's at stake

Bekzat Almakhan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Aleksandre Topuria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksandre TopuriaNow 1613
If they win+27→ 1640
If they lose-21→ 1592
Bekzat AlmakhanNow 1663
If they win+14→ 1677
If they lose-18→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
52%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.73
70%
Strike defense
37%
1
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
42%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksandre TopuriaBekzat Almakhan
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
10 (83%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Bekzat Almakhan63%
Aleksandre Topuria 37%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Bekzat Almakhan a 63% favorite over Aleksandre Topuria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Bekzat Almakhan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1613, a 50-point edge.

Aleksandre Topuria enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Bekzat Almakhan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksandre Topuria finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Bekzat Almakhan 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.