Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandre Topuria vs John Garza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Garza
us

John Garza

“Mowgli”

6-1-0BantamweightUFC

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach-
139 lbsWeight136 lbs
Climent ClubTeamAzTex MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandre TopuriaNow 1613
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
John GarzaNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
70%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aleksandre TopuriaJohn Garza
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (17%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aleksandre Topuria and John Garza within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Aleksandre Topuria enters on a 5-fight win streak.

John Garza enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Aleksandre Topuria finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, John Garza 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.