Aleksandre Topuria vs John Garza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record6-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach68"
139 lbsWeight136 lbs
Climent Club· 1711 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAzTex MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandre TopuriaJohn Garza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Garza55%
Aleksandre Topuria 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 55% favorite over Aleksandre Topuria in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aleksandre Topuria's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1610), separated by just 0 points.
Aleksandre Topuria enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Aleksandre Topuria finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, John Garza 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.