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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandre Topuria vs Nick Denis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Denis
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Nick Denis

“The Ninja of Love”

11-3-0BantamweightUFC

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"ReachTBD
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Climent Club· 1711 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRonin MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandre TopuriaNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Nick DenisNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
6.54
52%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.42
70%
Strike defense
37%
1
Takedown avg.
2.80
50%
Takedown accuracy
100%
100%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksandre TopuriaNick Denis
1550160016502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
10 (91%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandre Topuria58%
Nick Denis 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandre Topuria a 58% favorite over Nick Denis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1610), separated by just 0 points.

Aleksandre Topuria enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Aleksandre Topuria finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nick Denis 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.