Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksei Kunchenko vs Elizeu Zaleski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-5-0Record25-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
37.00Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
New StreamTeamCM System

What's at stake

Elizeu Zaleski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Aleksei Kunchenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksei KunchenkoNow 1539
If they win+34→ 1573
If they lose-14→ 1525
Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+7→ 1706
If they lose-17→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
44%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
64%
Strike defense
56%
0.25
Takedown avg.
0.75
33%
Takedown accuracy
21%
81%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Aleksei KunchenkoElizeu Zaleski
155016001650170017502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

13 (59%)
KO/TKO
15 (60%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (12%)
8 (36%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Elizeu Zaleski78%
Aleksei Kunchenko 22%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Elizeu Zaleski a 78% favorite over Aleksei Kunchenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Elizeu Zaleski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1539, a 160-point edge.

Aleksei Kunchenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aleksei Kunchenko finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Elizeu Zaleski 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.