Aleksei Kunchenko vs Gilbert Burns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record22-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
37.00Reach 71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
New StreamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Gilbert Burns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Aleksei Kunchenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+37→ 1576
If they lose-11→ 1528
If they win+6→ 1750
If they lose-18→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1777 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei KunchenkoGilbert Burns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gilbert Burns79%
Aleksei Kunchenko 21%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Gilbert Burns a 79% favorite over Aleksei Kunchenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Gilbert Burns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1539, a 205-point edge.
Aleksei Kunchenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gilbert Burns enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Aleksei Kunchenko finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Burns 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.