Aleksei Kunchenko vs Máté Kertész
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record15-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
37.00Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
New StreamTeamBSK Crossfight
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
If they win+12→ 1553
If they lose-12→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei KunchenkoMáté Kertész
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksei Kunchenko57%
Máté Kertész 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Kunchenko a 57% favorite over Máté Kertész in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Máté Kertész's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1541), separated by just 2 points.
Aleksei Kunchenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Máté Kertész enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Aleksei Kunchenko finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Máté Kertész 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.