Aleksei Kunchenko vs Randy Mboyo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-0Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
37.00Reach-
170 lbsWeight157 lbs
New StreamTeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1563
If they lose-24→ 1515
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei KunchenkoRandy Mboyo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksei Kunchenko55%
Randy Mboyo 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Kunchenko a 55% favorite over Randy Mboyo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Randy Mboyo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1542), separated by just 3 points.
Aleksei Kunchenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Aleksei Kunchenko finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Randy Mboyo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.